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CSS/Italy

Italian Chapter of Complex Systems Society

energy

November 12, 2018 research

Optimal positioning of storage systems in microgrids based on complex networks centrality measures

By Saman Korjani, Angelo Facchini, Mario Mureddu, Guido Caldarelli, Alfonso Damiano

Published in Scientific Reports (2018) 8:16658

 

We propose a criterion based on complex networks centrality metrics to identify the optimal position of Energy Storage Systems in power networks. To this aim we study the relation between centrality metrics and voltage fluctuations in power grids in presence of high penetration of renewable energy sources and storage systems. For testing purposes we consider two prototypical IEEE networks and we compute the correlation between node centrality (namely Eigenvector, Closeness, Pagerank, Betweenness) and voltage fluctuations in presence of intermittent renewable energy generators and intermittent loads measured from domestic users. We show that the topological characteristics of the power networks are able to identify the optimal positioning of active and reactive power compensators (such as energy storage systems) used to reduce voltage fluctuations according to the common quality of service standards. Results show that, among the different metrics, eigenvector centrality shows a statistically significant exponential correlation with the reduction of voltage fluctuations. This finding confirms the technical know-how for which storage systems are heuristically positioned far from supply reactive nodes. This also represents an advantage both in terms of computational time, and in terms of planning of wide resilient networks, where a careful positioning of storage systems is needed, especially in a scenario of interconnected microgrids where intermittent distributed energy sources (such as wind or solar) are fully deployed.

November 11, 2018 research

A Statistical Approach for Modeling the Aging Effects in Li-Ion Energy Storage Systems

By Mario Mureddu, Angelo Facchini, Alfonso Damiano

Published in IEEE Access, vol 6, 2018, 42196

 

 This paper presents a novel approach for the technical and economic assessment of Li-ion battery energy storage systems (BESS) in smart grids supported by renewable energy sources. The approachis based on the denition of a statistical battery degradation cost model (SBDCM), able to estimate the expected costs related to BESS aging, according to the statistical properties of its expected cycling patterns.

This new approach can improve the assessment of the economical sustainability of BESSs in this kind of applications, helping in this way the planning processes in electricity infrastructures in presence of high penetration of intermittent renewable energy sources. The SBDCM proposed in this paper is a statistical generalisation of a battery degradation model presented in the literature. The proposed approach has been validated numerically comparing the results with those of the deterministic model considering for the BESS a stochastic dataset of input signals. In order to test the usefulness of the proposed model in a real world application, the proposed SBDCM has been applied to the evaluation of the economic benefit associated to the development of distributed energy storage system scenarios in the Italian power system, aimed to provide ancillary services for supporting electricity market.

November 11, 2018 research

Changes to Gate Closure and its impact on wholesale electricity prices: The case of the UK

Angelo Facchini, Alessandro Rubino, Guido Caldarelli, Giuseppe di Liddo

Published in Energy Policy, 125 (2019) 110-121

The electricity supply industry in the United Kingdom underwent a number of regulatory reforms since late 80’s that have transformed the trading and pricing of the energy market. Herein we provide empirical evidence that the Modification Proposal P12 (Mod P12) – that took place in 7/2/2002 – moving the Gate Closure (GC) interval from 3.5 h to 1 h before real time has caused a permanent alteration in the UK spot price volatility.

Using a combination of Recurrence Plot (RP) and Recurrence Quantification Analysis (RQA) we find that, after the the change in the GC time, short term price volatility significantly decreased between 2001 and 2008 while long term price volatility is not affected by CG change. Similar results are obtained by means of spectral analysis on the price series, showing a significant reduction in its variability. The results of our analysis suggest that a dynamical regime shift of the price occurred, and such shift is linked to the GC change whereby shorter GC intervals facilitate short-term forecasting on electricity demand and better reliability on the supply side. Therefore, GC closer to real time is associated to reduced price fluctuations in the wholesale market.

 

November 11, 2018 research

Portfolio analysis and geographical allocation of renewable sources: A stochastic approach

Antonio Scala, Angelo Facchini, Umberto Perna, Riccardo Basosi

Published in Energy Policy, 125 (2019), 154-159

We take inspiration from the Modern Portfolio Theory introduced by Markowitz to propose a simplified strategy for the portfolio management of renewable energy sources based on Gaussian fluctuations with tunable correlations.

By analysing the impact of production fluctuations, we show how – depending on the sources’ temporal correlation patterns – a careful geographical allocation of different types of renewal energy sources can reduce both the energy needs for balancing the power system and its uncertainty. The proposed strategy can be easilyintegrated in a decision support system for the planning of renewable energy sources. Therefore, providing  policy/decision makers with an additional tool. We test our strategy on a set of case studies including a real-case based on literature data for solar and wind sources, and discuss how to extend the computation to non-Gaussian sources.

The paper shows that in the Markowitz framework an efficient trade-off between production and  fluctuations can be easily achieved, and that such framework also leads to important considerations on energy security. In perspective, analysis of time series together with such enriched frameworks would allow for the analysis of multiple realistic renewable generation scenarios helping decisions on the optimal size and spatial allocation of future energy storage facilities.

 

April 7, 2018 research

A Complex Network Approach for the Estimation of the Energy Demand of Electric Mobility

Mario Mureddu, Angelo Facchini, Antonio Scala, Guido Caldarelli & Alfonso Damiano
Scientific Reports 8, 268 (2018)
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-17838-5

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